It's the Donnydämmerung! (new Trump thread)

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Re: It's the Donnydämmerung! (new Trump thread)

Post by Statistical Mechanic » Wed Dec 13, 2017 3:39 am

Jeff_36 wrote:
Statistical Mechanic wrote:
Jeff_36 wrote:
Statistical Mechanic wrote:with 81% in, Moore 49.6%, Jones 48.9% - 4 big Jones areas with a lot of votes to come in (half of Jefferson County, Mobile County and Montgomery County, Dallas Count) . . . but Cohn is reporting that Moore's turnout drop-off is less than he thought an hour ago . . . ugh

CNN has Moore with 49.9% and Jones with 48.6%. 79% in. I guess you're a few steps ahead.
. . . CNN is terrible, frankly, I'm looking at CNN, MSNBC, Breitbart, Nate Cohn's Twitter feed, The Upshot, and 538. :)
CNN is the resistance dude. and Breitbart? Really?
CNN does a very poor job. Truly. I do read Breitbart every day.
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Re: It's the Donnydämmerung! (new Trump thread)

Post by Balmoral95 » Wed Dec 13, 2017 3:39 am

Statistical Mechanic wrote:Republican Senate Leadership Fund CEO Steven Law: “This is a brutal reminder that candidate quality matters regardless of where you are running. Not only did Steve Bannon cost us a critical Senate seat in one of the most Republican states in the country, but he also dragged the President of the United States into his fiasco.”

Well, Trump is part of the problem. A Republican president with 48% approval in Alabama? Come on. And earlier tonight the right-wing commentators on CNN, like Santorum, were crowing about "the Trump factor." LOL
Santorum couldn't pick a winner if his entry through the Pearly Gates depended on it. Saw him on CNN earlier... he was all smug... facking idiot.

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Re: It's the Donnydämmerung! (new Trump thread)

Post by Statistical Mechanic » Wed Dec 13, 2017 3:39 am

McConnell will not seat Jones until after the tax vote.

Speaking of someone Bannon will blame: McConnell.
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Re: It's the Donnydämmerung! (new Trump thread)

Post by Statistical Mechanic » Wed Dec 13, 2017 3:45 am

Dave Wasserman:
Amazing: turnout is at 72%-77% of '16 presidential race in heavily black counties, but just 55%-60% in rural white counties. Black voters punching above their weight tonight . . .
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Re: It's the Donnydämmerung! (new Trump thread)

Post by Statistical Mechanic » Wed Dec 13, 2017 3:46 am

Doug Jones tweet: "Thank you, Alabama."

Watching the Breitbart-Moore celebration (live feed) is the most fun I've had in months.
Last edited by Statistical Mechanic on Wed Dec 13, 2017 3:46 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: It's the Donnydämmerung! (new Trump thread)

Post by Balmoral95 » Wed Dec 13, 2017 3:46 am

Statistical Mechanic wrote:
Jeff_36 wrote:
Statistical Mechanic wrote:
Jeff_36 wrote:
Statistical Mechanic wrote:with 81% in, Moore 49.6%, Jones 48.9% - 4 big Jones areas with a lot of votes to come in (half of Jefferson County, Mobile County and Montgomery County, Dallas Count) . . . but Cohn is reporting that Moore's turnout drop-off is less than he thought an hour ago . . . ugh

CNN has Moore with 49.9% and Jones with 48.6%. 79% in. I guess you're a few steps ahead.
. . . CNN is terrible, frankly, I'm looking at CNN, MSNBC, Breitbart, Nate Cohn's Twitter feed, The Upshot, and 538. :)
CNN is the resistance dude. and Breitbart? Really?
CNN does a very poor job. Truly. I do read Breitbart every day.
It's terribly second rate... but at least consistently so. How many facking years did they continue with that arse Larry King... That alone qualifies as a double "Jesus wept"... :lol:

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Re: It's the Donnydämmerung! (new Trump thread)

Post by Balmoral95 » Wed Dec 13, 2017 3:50 am

Flake via Twitter:

"Decency wins".

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Re: It's the Donnydämmerung! (new Trump thread)

Post by Statistical Mechanic » Wed Dec 13, 2017 3:54 am

The margin of victory will be less than the write-in total: wheehaw, Richard Shelby, Mitch McConnell in the crosshairs, Republican food fight!!
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Re: It's the Donnydämmerung! (new Trump thread)

Post by scrmbldggs » Wed Dec 13, 2017 3:55 am

Statistical Mechanic wrote:Dave Wasserman:
Amazing: turnout is at 72%-77% of '16 presidential race in heavily black counties, but just 55%-60% in rural white counties. Black voters punching above their weight tonight . . .
Will Dump's voter commission claim they all had fake IDs?
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Re: It's the Donnydämmerung! (new Trump thread)

Post by Balmoral95 » Wed Dec 13, 2017 3:56 am

Statistical Mechanic wrote:The margin of victory will be less than the write-in total: wheehaw, Richard Shelby, Mitch McConnell in the crosshairs, Republican food fight!!
Iwanka ejected from Trump Tower? :lol:

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Re: It's the Donnydämmerung! (new Trump thread)

Post by Jeff_36 » Wed Dec 13, 2017 3:56 am

Statistical Mechanic wrote:Dave Wasserman:
Amazing: turnout is at 72%-77% of '16 presidential race in heavily black counties, but just 55%-60% in rural white counties. Black voters punching above their weight tonight . . .
the slavery comment is to blame for that.

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Re: It's the Donnydämmerung! (new Trump thread)

Post by Jeff_36 » Wed Dec 13, 2017 4:00 am

If this does not mark the official start of the bust up between Trump and the GOP that I've been predicting for so long, I don't know what will.

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Re: It's the Donnydämmerung! (new Trump thread)

Post by Gord » Wed Dec 13, 2017 4:01 am

Yeah, I don't believe it. It's a hoax. Moore actually won, and someone is pranking us all.
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Re: It's the Donnydämmerung! (new Trump thread)

Post by Statistical Mechanic » Wed Dec 13, 2017 4:11 am

This continues the momentum begun in Virginia. But in a deep red state. With a pure Trump-Bannon candidate.
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Re: It's the Donnydämmerung! (new Trump thread)

Post by Statistical Mechanic » Wed Dec 13, 2017 4:15 am

Steve Bannon watching the Alabama returns:

Image
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Re: It's the Donnydämmerung! (new Trump thread)

Post by Balmoral95 » Wed Dec 13, 2017 4:29 am

Santorum, slimey twot, now throwing DJT under the bus. :lol:

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Re: It's the Donnydämmerung! (new Trump thread)

Post by Balmoral95 » Wed Dec 13, 2017 4:32 am

Recount from Moore arseholes

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Re: It's the Donnydämmerung! (new Trump thread)

Post by Balmoral95 » Wed Dec 13, 2017 4:33 am

Moore: God gonna fix the election.....

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Re: It's the Donnydämmerung! (new Trump thread)

Post by Jeff_36 » Wed Dec 13, 2017 4:34 am


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Re: It's the Donnydämmerung! (new Trump thread)

Post by Jeff_36 » Wed Dec 13, 2017 4:35 am

Statistical Mechanic wrote:This continues the momentum begun in Virginia. But in a deep red state. With a pure Trump-Bannon candidate.
The real question here should be: Are any republicans safe in 2018?

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Re: It's the Donnydämmerung! (new Trump thread)

Post by Statistical Mechanic » Wed Dec 13, 2017 4:38 am

Roy Moore's camp saying that the election is not over, insinuating, well, something, and discussing a mandatory recount (stipulated by law if margin is <0.5%).

With 100% of the precincts reporting, the vote is Jones 49.9%, Moore 48.4%, and write-ins 1.7%. Jones' margin of victory is 1.5%. Well over the recount threshold.

That Moore mensch is all class.
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Re: It's the Donnydämmerung! (new Trump thread)

Post by scrmbldggs » Wed Dec 13, 2017 4:41 am

Next up:"We know how the machines should have functioned. If they didn't, someone must have fixed them."

(One likely area reported malfunctioning ones. And other difficulties of the by now usual kind elsewhere...)
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Re: It's the Donnydämmerung! (new Trump thread)

Post by Statistical Mechanic » Wed Dec 13, 2017 4:42 am

Balmoral95 wrote:Recount from Moore arseholes
. . . trying to delay certification so as to delay Jones sitting in the Senate . . . ?
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Re: It's the Donnydämmerung! (new Trump thread)

Post by bobbo_the_Pragmatist » Wed Dec 13, 2017 4:44 am

Statistical Mechanic wrote:Dave Wasserman:
Amazing: turnout is at 72%-77% of '16 presidential race in heavily black counties, but just 55%-60% in rural white counties. Black voters punching above their weight tonight . . .
Seems to me that "above their weight" would mean above the 2016 if not the 2012 presidential years. The implication they voted above their weight by beating the white turn out is a bit................................. special.
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Re: It's the Donnydämmerung! (new Trump thread)

Post by Balmoral95 » Wed Dec 13, 2017 4:49 am

Statistical Mechanic wrote:
Balmoral95 wrote:Recount from Moore arseholes
. . . trying to delay certification so as to delay Jones sitting in the Senate . . . ?
Sure. Not clear they'll get it close enough to cause auto recount. Whatever loser, obstructionist BS they can come up with is already in play...

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Re: It's the Donnydämmerung! (new Trump thread)

Post by Statistical Mechanic » Wed Dec 13, 2017 4:53 am

Yeah, while they take shots at each other . . . which should be fun to watch.
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Re: It's the Donnydämmerung! (new Trump thread)

Post by Statistical Mechanic » Wed Dec 13, 2017 4:57 am

Automatic recount? - nope

21,000 vote lead for Jones

Absentee ballots: already counted
Provisional ballots + military ballots: total 1,500

Automatic recount, sorry Roy, not in play; Moore can request and pay for a recount

Black turnout: decisive (same %'s as tweeted by Wasserman)

(per MSNBC)
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Re: It's the Donnydämmerung! (new Trump thread)

Post by Balmoral95 » Wed Dec 13, 2017 5:02 am

Statistical Mechanic wrote:Roy Moore's camp saying that the election is not over, insinuating, well, something, and discussing a mandatory recount (stipulated by law if margin is <0.5%).

With 100% of the precincts reporting, the vote is Jones 49.9%, Moore 48.4%, and write-ins 1.7%. Jones' margin of victory is 1.5%. Well over the recount threshold.

That Moore mensch is all class.
The other blathering is the so far uncounted military vote.. ALA has ca. 8,300 troops active duty... Something like 22k in reserves.... not sure why those wouldn't have been already factored along with absentee ballots......

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Re: It's the Donnydämmerung! (new Trump thread)

Post by Jeff_36 » Wed Dec 13, 2017 5:05 am

Statistical Mechanic wrote:Automatic recount? - nope

21,000 vote lead for Jones

Absentee ballots: already counted
Provisional ballots + military ballots: total 1,500

Automatic recount, sorry Roy, not in play; Moore can request and pay for a recount

Black turnout: decisive (same %'s as tweeted by Wasserman)

(per MSNBC)
If Breitbart, the Daily Caller, infowars, or some other similar outlet (or Trump himself) doesn't put out some voter fraud conspiracy bs in the next few weeks, I'll post a (very low-fi) vid of me signing "Burning Down the House" at a kareoke bar in the summer of 2013. That is a bet.

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Re: It's the Donnydämmerung! (new Trump thread)

Post by scrmbldggs » Wed Dec 13, 2017 5:05 am

Dec 12, 2017 11:08:41 PM - Congratulations to Doug Jones on a hard fought victory. The write-in votes played a very big factor, but a win is a win. The people of Alabama are great, and the Republicans will have another shot at this seat in a very short period of time. It never ends!

Guess who. :lol:
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Re: It's the Donnydämmerung! (new Trump thread)

Post by Balmoral95 » Wed Dec 13, 2017 5:17 am

scrmbldggs wrote:Next up:"We know how the machines should have functioned. If they didn't, someone must have fixed them."

(One likely area reported malfunctioning ones. And other difficulties of the by now usual kind elsewhere...)

God prolly gonna fix that too (cheaper than Diebold).... Of course that leaves us with the question why didn't God win the election in the first place .... but let's not go there tonight.... it'll be far more entertaining tomorrow.

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Re: It's the Donnydämmerung! (new Trump thread)

Post by scrmbldggs » Wed Dec 13, 2017 5:40 am

Statistical Mechanic wrote:Steve Bannon watching the Alabama returns:

Image
cleanliness is next to godliness .
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Re: It's the Donnydämmerung! (new Trump thread)

Post by Balmoral95 » Wed Dec 13, 2017 5:57 am

scrmbldggs wrote:
Statistical Mechanic wrote:Steve Bannon watching the Alabama returns:

Image
cleanliness is next to godliness .
Leviticus 10:9... er, because God...

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Re: It's the Donnydämmerung! (new Trump thread)

Post by Statistical Mechanic » Wed Dec 13, 2017 11:54 am

The Republicans will be busy looking for "quality" candidates ("candidate quality matters"), you know, like guys who don't sexually assault children, dress up like cowboys, and openly wish for the restoration of slavery.
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Re: It's the Donnydämmerung! (new Trump thread)

Post by Upton_O_Goode » Wed Dec 13, 2017 12:07 pm

Statistical Mechanic wrote:The margin of victory will be less than the write-in total: wheehaw, Richard Shelby, Mitch McConnell in the crosshairs, Republican food fight!!
Shelby said he thought Moore shouldn't be seated, even if he won, at least not without some hearings. McConnell rose above principle way too late here.

So, they've been beaten on Obamacare, and beaten in Alabama (!!!). Let's get the trifecta and beat them on the reconciled tax bill. This should have scared the hell out of a lot of Republicans, and maybe enough will flip to do the job. Then it won't matter whether McConnell the Loser seats Jones now or later.

How sweet it is!! Thank you, Alabama!!
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Re: It's the Donnydämmerung! (new Trump thread)

Post by Statistical Mechanic » Wed Dec 13, 2017 12:12 pm

Looking at the Alabama certification time line (at al.com), one sees that Jones can't be seated until early January in any event, too late for the tax bill.
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Re: It's the Donnydämmerung! (new Trump thread)

Post by Statistical Mechanic » Wed Dec 13, 2017 12:17 pm

USA Today editorial today (Bob Costa, WaPo's resident right-wing mouthpiece, winced hearing this bit and disapproved angrily):
A president who would all but call Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand a whore is not fit to clean the toilets in the Barack Obama Presidential Library or to shine the shoes of George W. Bush. . . . Donald Trump, the man, . . . is uniquely awful. His sickening behavior is corrosive to the enterprise of a shared governance based on common values and the consent of the governed. . . . It is a shock that only six Democratic senators are calling for our unstable president to resign.
USA Today, house rag of the far left . . .
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Re: It's the Donnydämmerung! (new Trump thread)

Post by Jeffk 1970 » Wed Dec 13, 2017 12:20 pm

Woke up this morning, saw what happened in Alabama.

Color me shocked, I really need reassurance from Ian that God hasn’t abandoned his followers.....

:rotfl:
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Re: It's the Donnydämmerung! (new Trump thread)

Post by Statistical Mechanic » Wed Dec 13, 2017 12:24 pm

Trump and Bannon "spoke Tuesday morning, and Bannon offered Trump assurances that Moore would prevail." (from POLITICO):

Image

(Yes, that's what Breitbart looks like today . . . after Bannon "scrapped" his plan to speak at Judge Moore's victory celebration last night . . . )
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Re: It's the Donnydämmerung! (new Trump thread)

Post by Jeffk 1970 » Wed Dec 13, 2017 12:38 pm

Statistical Mechanic wrote:Trump and Bannon "spoke Tuesday morning, and Bannon offered Trump assurances that Moore would prevail." (from POLITICO):

Image

(Yes, that's what Breitbart looks like today . . . after Bannon "scrapped" his plan to speak at Judge Moore's victory celebration last night . . . )
Now Bannon knows how we felt in November 2016. In a much smaller way but it’s still sweet.
Asked to explain why they hate Jews, anti-Semites contradict themselves. Jews are always showing off; they are hermetic and secretive. They will not assimilate; they assimilate only too well. They are too religious; they are too materialistic, and a threat to religion. They are uncultured; they have too much culture. They avoid manual work; they work too hard. They are miserly; they are ostentatious spenders. They are inveterate capitalists; they are born Communists. And so on.